Market Commentary | December 13, 2022

by

Is inflation dead?

This morning the Labor Department reported November’s month-over-month core inflation of just 0.1%, far below the forecast rate of 0.4% and, annualized, below the Fed’s 2.0% target rate. The Fed is expected to hike rates by an additional 50 basis points on December 14th, but the market is already anticipating that the rate increases will soon come to an end; the 10-year Treasury yield has continued its decline from 4.22% in early November to 3.50% today. Yield is going to become scarcer.

Ready

Throughout November and into December we have worked to take advantage of anxiety-generated market price dislocations and secured higher dividend flows through the purchase of discounted common and preferred REIT shares across various sectors. We have locked in high yields so that when rates stop rising our portfolios will cashflow at nearly twice the 10-year Treasury rate. If/when rates begin to decline, we can anticipate attendant capital appreciation.

We wish you Happy Holidays and look forward to working with you in the new year.

Notes and Disclosure

Articles are provided for informational purposes only. They are not recommendations to buy or sell any security and are strictly the opinion of the writer. The information contained in these articles is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any particular person. It does not constitute a recommendation that any particular security or strategy is suitable for a specific person.

Investing in publicly held securities is speculative and involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. The reader must determine whether any investment is suitable and accepts responsibility for their investment decisions.

Commentary may contain forward-looking statements that are by definition uncertain. Actual results may differ materially from our forecasts or estimations, and 2MCAC and its affiliates cannot be held liable for the use of and reliance upon the opinions, estimates, forecasts, and findings in this article.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing in publicly held securities is speculative and involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Historical returns should not be used as the primary basis for investment decisions. Although the statements of fact and data in this report have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, 2MCAC does not guarantee their accuracy and assumes no liability or responsibility for any omissions/errors.

We routinely own and trade the same securities purchased or sold for advisory clients of 2MCAC. This circumstance is communicated to clients on an ongoing basis. As fiduciaries, we prioritize our clients’ interests above those of our corporate and personal accounts to avoid conflict and adverse selection in trading these commonly held interests.

Hypertext links to other sites are provided strictly as a courtesy. When you link to any of the sites provided on our website, you are leaving this website. We make no representation as to the completeness or accuracy of information provided on these websites. Nor is the company liable for any direct or indirect technical or system issues or any consequences arising out of your access to or your use of third-party technologies, websites, information, and programs made available through this website. When you access one of these websites, you are leaving our website and assume total responsibility and risk for your use of the websites to which you are linking.

Share This